Daily Market Report

Tech Rout and Vol Spike Signal Broad Retreat

Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST

01Daily Summary

Risk-Off
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

So far today, the S&P 500 is down 1.69% to 7,281 as a sharp selloff in semiconductors - Intel down 8.27% and AMD down 8.83% - drags the Technology sector lower by 5.11%. The VIX has surged 20.19% to 22.74, signaling a genuine fear re-pricing. WTI crude is up 5.27% to $95.96, adding stagflationary pressure, while gold is off 2.10% and silver has shed 5.29%. The lone bright spot: US Existing Home Sales for May came in at 4.17 million, beating the 4.07 million estimate.

S&P 500−1.69%NASDAQ−2.87%US10Y+8 bpWTI+5.27%Gold−2.10%BTC−3.52%ETH−3.50%DXY+0.62%VIX+20.19%

02Macro Snapshot

Mixed signals
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ
Benchmark Rates Latest Δ vs Prior Released Next Release Implication
Fed Ratei 3.50 – 3.75 % unchanged 29 Apr 2026 17 Jun 2026 Fed funds at 3.50-3.75% signals steady policy for risk assets.
ECB Ratei 2.00 % unchanged 4 Jun 2026 16 Jul 2026 ECB rate at 2.00% supports European risk assets and lower EUR rates.
BoJ Ratei 0.75 % unchanged 28 Apr 2026 16 Jun 2026 BoJ rate at 0.75% keeps JPY carry trade attractive for global risk.
SOFRi 3.63 % unchanged daily tomorrow SOFR at 3.63% indicates stable short-end USD funding for risk assets.
IPOR USDCi 3.40 % −23 bp real-time — USDC IPOR at 3.40% below SOFR shows deleveraging in onchain USD.
IPOR WETHi 1.74 % −1 bp real-time — WETH IPOR at 1.74% reflects cooling onchain ETH leverage demand.
ETH Ratei 2.57 % — real-time — ETH staking yield at 2.57% provides native return on holding ETH.
Inflation Latest Δ vs Prior Released Next Release Implication
CPI YoY (headline)i 3.8 % +0.6 pp 12 May 2026 10 Jun 2026 Headline CPI at 3.8% keeps Fed cautious about further cuts.
CPI YoY (core)i 2.8 % +0.1 pp 12 May 2026 10 Jun 2026 Core CPI at 2.8% shows moderate underlying inflation persistence.
PPI YoY (headline)i 6.0 % +1.7 pp 13 May 2026 11 Jun 2026 PPI at 6.0% signals upstream inflation running hotter than CPI.
PPI YoY (core)i 5.2 % +1.3 pp 13 May 2026 11 Jun 2026 Core PPI at 5.2% indicates persistent upstream pressures above core CPI.
Labor Latest Δ vs Prior Released Next Release Implication
Nonfarm Payrollsi (m/m) 159.00 M jobs +172 k 5 Jun 2026 2 Jul 2026 NFP at +172k shows moderate labor market gains.
Unemployment Ratei 4.3 % unchanged pp 5 Jun 2026 2 Jul 2026 Unemployment at 4.3% points to rising slack in labor market.
Activity Latest Δ vs Prior Released Next Release Implication
Industrial Productioni (YoY) +1.4 % +0.6 pp 15 May 2026 15 Jun 2026 Industrial production at +1.4% YoY reflects modest manufacturing strength.
Retail Salesi (m/m) +0.5 % −1.4 pp 14 May 2026 17 Jun 2026 Retail sales at +0.5% m/m indicate steady consumer demand.
ISM Manufacturing PMIi 54.0 +1.3 May 2026 — ISM manufacturing at 54.0 signals expansion in factory sector.
ISM Services PMIi 54.5 +0.9 May 2026 — ISM services at 54.5 shows continued expansion in services sector.
Yield Curve Latest Δ vs Prior Released Next Release Implication
US 10Y2Y Spreadi 38 bp — daily tomorrow Positive curve. Recession odds receding.
Sentiment Latest Δ vs Prior Released Next Release Implication
CNN Fear & Greedi (Equity) 31 (Fear) −9 daily tomorrow CNN Fear & Greed at 31 indicates Fear regime in equities.
Crypto Fear & Greedi 10 (Extreme Fear) +2 daily tomorrow Crypto Fear & Greed at 10 signals Extreme Fear opportunity.
News Sentimenti −4 (Neutral) −7 every 30 min — News sentiment at -4 reflects Neutral narrative on markets.

03News Sentiment

Neutral
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ
Last 7 days · overall score (EWMA-smoothed) range −49 to +42 · current −4 (Neutral) · −7 24h
7 days ago today
Direction
bull 52% bear 48% ± 15% uncertainty
Coverage
macro 52% crypto 37% mixed 11%
What's driving today's news sentiment Top 2 · sorted by impact
+35 Bullish short-term
Treasuries rise as oil prices fall, easing inflation concerns ahead of May CPI
Benchmark oil prices dropped to a one-month low, reducing inflation worries while Treasuries advanced before the May CPI release, indicating easing financial conditions relevant to crypto markets.
bloomberg.comconf 85% Market-WideBTCETHStablecoins
−15 Neutral Canadian Dollar Weakness Reflects Bank of Canada Rate Hold Expectations bloomberg.com

04.1Tech Equitiesi

Bearish
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

The entire nine-name tech cohort is in the red so far today, with zero names positive heading into the close. Advanced Micro Devices and Intel are leading losses, down 8.83% and 8.27% respectively, dragging the semiconductor complex sharply lower. Apple and Tesla are also under heavy pressure, off 4.05% and 5.03%, while Meta Platforms is the relative holdout at -0.16%.

AAPLApple
$289.33−4.05%
1D Range $287.78 — $300.72
1M Range $289.29 — $315.20
P/E TTMi34.7 P/E Fwdi30.1 50-DMAi+2.5% 200-DMAi+8.9% RSI(14)i42 YTDi+6.7% % from ATHi−8.8% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.60
MSFTMicrosoft
$400.43−2.75%
1D Range $398.48 — $411.98
1M Range $400.39 — $460.52
P/E TTMi23.7 P/E Fwdi20.6 50-DMAi−2.2% 200-DMAi−12.2% RSI(14)i41 YTDi−15.3% % from ATHi−27.9% Sharpe(1Y)i−0.19
GOOGLAlphabet
$360.50−0.77%
1D Range $357.29 — $372.06
1M Range $358.99 — $402.62
P/E TTMi27.2 P/E Fwdi25.3 50-DMAi+1.2% 200-DMAi+18.2% RSI(14)i42 YTDi+14.3% % from ATHi−11.8% Sharpe(1Y)i+2.55
AMZNAmazon
$241.96−1.33%
1D Range $240.40 — $250.43
1M Range $241.60 — $274.00
P/E TTMi28.6 P/E Fwdi27.5 50-DMAi−3.9% 200-DMAi+4.2% RSI(14)i35 YTDi+6.7% % from ATHi−13.1% Sharpe(1Y)i+0.93
NVDANVIDIA
$202.02−3.17%
1D Range $199.34 — $211.40
1M Range $202.03 — $235.74
P/E TTMi30.7 P/E Fwdi22.6 50-DMAi−1.1% 200-DMAi+7.0% RSI(14)i42 YTDi+7.0% % from ATHi−14.6% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.67
METAMeta Platforms
$584.43−0.16%
1D Range $581.01 — $597.63
1M Range $584.19 — $635.29
P/E TTMi21.0 P/E Fwdi17.8 50-DMAi−5.8% 200-DMAi−11.7% RSI(14)i39 YTDi−10.2% % from ATHi−26.6% Sharpe(1Y)i+0.11
TSLATesla
$388.39−5.03%
1D Range $384.24 — $418.50
1M Range $388.51 — $445.27
P/E TTMi324.1 P/E Fwdi206.0 50-DMAi−1.9% 200-DMAi−6.3% RSI(14)i42 YTDi−11.3% % from ATHi−22.1% Sharpe(1Y)i+0.87
INTCIntel
$101.15−8.27%
1D Range $99.46 — $114.00
1M Range $99.17 — $129.44
P/E TTMin/a P/E Fwdi93.4 50-DMAi+12.3% 200-DMAi+95.6% RSI(14)i46 YTDi+157.4% % from ATHi−23.8% Sharpe(1Y)i+2.41
AMDAMD
$447.01−8.83%
1D Range $437.24 — $505.00
1M Range $414.05 — $542.52
P/E TTMi145.6 P/E Fwdi59.9 50-DMAi+22.7% 200-DMAi+80.5% RSI(14)i50 YTDi+100.0% % from ATHi−18.2% Sharpe(1Y)i+2.43

04.2Indices

Bearishi
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

US equities are taking a broad hit so far today, with the Nasdaq off 2.87% and the S&P 500 down 1.69% as of this snapshot, while the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX) is the session's standout casualty at -6.94%. The Dow is holding up better at -0.80%, but the Russell 2000 is down 1.60%, confirming the selling is not confined to large-cap tech. Breadth is notably not the story here: the cap-weighted S&P 500 YTD return of +6.14% sits only 0.99 percentage points below the equal-weight RSP at +7.13%, meaning leadership is relatively broad rather than Mag7-concentrated. VIX has surged 20.19% to 22.74, a clear signal of intraday stress, while world markets are mostly lower with the exception of the Nikkei, which gained 2.17% in its own session.

US Equity Benchmarks
SPXS&P 500
7,280.56−1.69%
1D Range 7,237.85 — 7,483.15
1M Range 7,279.85 — 7,609.77
50-DMAi+1.5% 200-DMAi+6.1% RSI(14)i42 YTDi+6.1% % from ATHi−4.4% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.91
IXICNasdaq Comp.
25,185.97−2.87%
1D Range 24,980.38 — 26,259.92
1M Range 25,174.46 — 27,093.90
50-DMAi+1.3% 200-DMAi+7.9% RSI(14)i39 YTDi+8.3% % from ATHi−7.2% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.91
DJIDow Jones Ind.
50,380.02−0.80%
1D Range 50,211.12 — 51,260.92
1M Range 49,363.89 — 51,561.94
50-DMAi+2.5% 200-DMAi+5.1% RSI(14)i52 YTDi+4.1% % from ATHi−2.3% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.53
RUTRussell 2000
2,809.64−1.60%
1D Range 2,795.48 — 2,921.33
1M Range 2,747.07 — 2,936.57
50-DMAi+1.6% 200-DMAi+9.1% RSI(14)i46 YTDi+12.0% % from ATHi−4.3% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.67
SOXXSemiconductors
531.78−6.94%
1D Range 522.24 — 588.58
1M Range 495.87 — 615.68
50-DMAi+13.8% 200-DMAi+53.5% RSI(14)i50 YTDi+69.6% % from ATHi−13.6% Sharpe(1Y)i+2.79
Risk & Breadth Gauges
RSPiS&P 500 Eq-Wt
206.64−0.47%
1D Range 205.74 — 210.36
1M Range 201.56 — 210.83
50-DMAi+2.3% 200-DMAi+5.9% RSI(14)i53 YTDi+7.1% vs SPX YTDi+1.0pp Cap-weight sharei-16%
VIXiVolatility Idx
22.74+20.19%
1D Range 17.52 — 23.24
1M Range 15.32 — 22.74
50-DMAi+21.3% 200-DMAi+23.3% RSI(14)i64 YTDi+56.7%
MOVEiMOVE Index
76.98+2.37%
5D Range 71.16 — 76.98
1M Range 67.25 — 86.07
50-DMAi+1.5% 200-DMAi+4.9% RSI(14)i53 YTDi+23.4%
DXYTrade-Wt. USD
112.68+0.62%
5D Range 111.70 — 112.68
1M Range 110.34 — 112.68
50-DMAi+1.1% 200-DMAi+1.1% RSI(14)i66 YTDi+1.4%
World Markets
FTSEFTSE 100
10,242.24−1.26%
1D Range 10,242.00 — 10,372.77
1M Range 10,195.37 — 10,505.01
50-DMAi−1.3% 200-DMAi+2.7% RSI(14)i41 YTDi+2.8% % from ATHi−6.3% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.54
N225Nikkei 225
65,416.63+2.17%
1D Range 63,918.96 — 65,485.16
1M Range 59,804.41 — 68,402.13
50-DMAi+9.2% 200-DMAi+24.7% RSI(14)i57 YTDi+26.2% % from ATHi−4.7% Sharpe(1Y)i+2.36
HSIHang Seng
24,565.90−0.37%
1D Range 24,486.39 — 24,740.65
1M Range 24,565.91 — 26,406.85
50-DMAi−4.5% 200-DMAi−5.6% RSI(14)i36 YTDi−6.7% % from ATHi−12.4% Sharpe(1Y)i+0.50
Global Equity Baskets
URTHMSCI World
197.78−1.63%
1D Range 196.71 — 203.09
1M Range 197.69 — 206.18
50-DMAi+1.1% 200-DMAi+5.7% RSI(14)i42 YTDi+6.0% % from ATHi−4.1% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.78
EEMMSCI Emerging
64.69−1.61%
1D Range 64.07 — 67.45
1M Range 64.26 — 70.80
50-DMAi+1.2% 200-DMAi+12.1% RSI(14)i44 YTDi+15.0% % from ATHi−8.6% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.68
Valuations
CAPE 10iShiller P/E
41.7Overvalued
+0.23% today
Long-run mean17.4 Median16.1 All-time high44.2 (Dec 1999) % from ATHi−5.7%
Trailing P/EiS&P 500 (TTM)
31.9Overvalued
+0.23% today
Long-run mean16.2 Median15.1 All-time high123.7 (May 2009)
Buffett IndicatoriCorp Equities / GDP
232.7Overvalued · ATH
 
Long-run mean85.7 Median72.0 Previous peak229.4 (Q3 2025) vs prev peaki+1.5%
Sector Rotationi 11 GICS sectors · today's % change · sorted best to worst
Materials+0.73%
Staples+0.44%
Financials−0.28%
Healthcare−0.54%
Real Estate−0.83%
Utilities−1.27%
Telecom−1.37%
Industrials−2.29%
Discretionary−2.43%
Energy−4.18%
Tech−5.11%

04.3US Treasuries & Credit

Offered
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Treasuries are selling off sharply across the front end so far today, with the 2-year yield jumping 12 basis points to 4.17% and the 10-year rising 8 basis points to 4.55%, steepening the 2s10s spread to +38 basis points. The 30-year has crossed 5.01%, up 4 basis points, adding duration pressure. Real rates are driving the move: the 10-year TIPS real yield is up 8 basis points to 2.19% while the 10-year breakeven is essentially flat at 2.35%, meaning the selloff is real-rate-led rather than inflation-expectations-driven. Credit spreads are sending a mixed signal: HY OAS tightened 1 basis point to 275 basis points while IG OAS widened 1 basis point to 75 basis points, suggesting credit stress is not yet amplifying the rates move.

US2YiTreasury 2Y
4.17%+12 bp
5D Range 4.05 — 4.17
1M Range 3.90 — 4.17
5-day Δ+19 bp YTD Δ+70 bp
US10YiTreasury 10Y
4.55%+8 bp
5D Range 4.46 — 4.55
1M Range 4.38 — 4.67
10–2 spread+38 bp YTD Δ+36 bp
US30YiTreasury 30Y
5.01%+4 bp
5D Range 4.97 — 5.01
1M Range 4.95 — 5.18
5-day Δ+2 bp YTD Δ+15 bp
Fiscal
US Debt & Servicing
US Debt & Servicing
Total Public Debti
$39.22T -$12.6B (1d)
+8.3% YoY
Annual Interest (gross)i
$1.32T +10.2% YoY
gross · avg rate 3.35%
Rate & Rollover Risk
Wtd Avg Rate on Debti
3.35% +0.06pp YoY
on total interest-bearing debt
Maturing < 1 Yeari
26.0%
~$10.21T · refinancing-risk gauge
Macro Bond
Real Rates & Credit
Real Rates & Inflation Expectations
10Y TIPS Reali
2.19% +8 bp
10Y nominal − inflation expectations
10Y Breakeveni
2.35% −1 bp
market-implied 10Y CPI
Credit Spreads
HY OASi
2.75% −1 bp
ICE BofA US HY
IG OASi
0.75% +1 bp
tight · late-cycle

04.4Japan Rates · JGB Curve

Offered
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

No JGB curve data is available in this snapshot. Commentary on the JGB 2Y/10Y/30Y levels, the 2s10s spread, and the yen carry backdrop will resume when the feed is restored.

JP2YiJGB 2Y
1.42%+1 bp
5D Range 1.38 — 1.42
1M Range 1.37 — 1.46
5-day Δ+2 bp YTD Δ+23 bp
JP10YiJGB 10Y
2.71%+5 bp
5D Range 2.58 — 2.71
1M Range 2.53 — 2.78
10–2 spread+130 bp YTD Δ+60 bp
JP30YiJGB 30Y
3.88%+4 bp
5D Range 3.81 — 3.88
1M Range 3.74 — 4.04
5-day Δ+1 bp YTD Δ+48 bp

04.5Commodities

Mixed
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Energy is the session's standout mover so far today, with WTI crude and Brent both surging more than 5%, up 5.27% and 5.82% respectively, while natural gas is moving sharply in the opposite direction, down 8.08%. Precious metals are under pressure alongside the broader risk-off tone: Gold is off 2.10% to $4,271.70 and Silver is down 5.29% to $64.96, an unusually sharp decline for the yellow metal given the VIX spike.

CLWTI Crude
$95.96+5.27%
5D Range $91.16 — $97.63
1M Range $91.16 — $112.25
50-DMAi−4.5% 200-DMAi+31.3% RSI(14)i45 YTDi+67.7%
COBrent
$98.29+5.82%
5D Range $92.88 — $102.75
1M Range $92.88 — $124.24
50-DMAi−12.7% 200-DMAi+23.8% RSI(14)i41 YTDi+58.6%
NGNatural Gas
$3.07−8.08%
5D Range $3.04 — $3.34
1M Range $2.63 — $3.34
50-DMAi+7.0% 200-DMAi−16.8% RSI(14)i53 YTDi+8.9%
XAUGold
$4,271.70−2.10%
5D Range $4,260.30 — $4,388.60
1M Range $4,272.30 — $4,593.00
50-DMAi−7.6% 200-DMAi−6.9% RSI(14)i32 YTDi−2.6%
XAGSilver
$64.96−5.29%
5D Range $64.50 — $69.18
1M Range $64.96 — $77.96
50-DMAi−15.5% 200-DMAi−10.7% RSI(14)i29 YTDi−10.8%

04.6Crypto Assets

Bearish
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Crypto is broadly lower heading into the US close, with Bitcoin down 3.52% to $61,354.78 and Ethereum off 3.50% to $1,631.37, while Solana leads the trio lower at -4.09% to $64.08. The total crypto market cap is down 1.60% over 24 hours and global DeFi TVL has shed 1.65%, consistent with a risk-off session rather than a crypto-specific event. The Fear and Greed Index has collapsed to 10, registering Extreme Fear, the most distressed reading on the scale. Spot ETF flows are split: BTC ETFs have seen $91M in outflows on the day while ETH ETFs attracted $82M in inflows, a divergence worth watching. Perp funding is also bifurcated, with BTC funding positive at +3.76% APR and ETH funding negative at -4.75% APR, reflecting different positioning dynamics between the two assets.

BTCBitcoin
$61,354.78−3.52%
1D Range $60,739.00 — $63,792.00
1M Range $60,850.48 — $81,727.06
50-DMAi−18.8% 200-DMAi−21.7% 200-WMAi($62,011.10) −1.1% RSI(14)i24 % from ATHi−51.3% Sharpe(1Y)i−1.47
ETHEthereum
$1,631.37−3.50%
1D Range $1,613.18 — $1,712.73
1M Range $1,568.87 — $2,339.39
50-DMAi−24.1% 200-DMAi−33.3% 200-WMAi($2,469.82) −33.9% RSI(14)i26 % from ATHi−66.6% Sharpe(1Y)i−1.65
SOLSolana
$64.08−4.09%
1D Range $63.50 — $67.43
1M Range $62.17 — $97.36
50-DMAi−23.5% 200-DMAi−37.0% 200-WMAi($106.46) −39.8% RSI(14)i26 % from ATHi−78.2% Sharpe(1Y)i−1.83
ENAEthena
$0.0785−7.98%
1D Range $0.0780 — $0.0859
1M Range $0.0785 — $0.1288
50-DMAi−28.6% 200-DMAi−47.7% RSI(14)i35 % from ATHi−94.8% Sharpe(1Y)i−2.25
HYPEHyperliquid
$58.84−7.77%
1D Range $58.49 — $63.98
1M Range $38.81 — $74.47
50-DMAi+16.6% 200-DMAi+62.2% RSI(14)i50 % from ATHi−20.2% Sharpe(1Y)i+0.82
PUMPPump.fun
$0.001504−6.91%
1D Range $0.001498 — $0.001659
1M Range $0.001414 — $0.002098
50-DMAi−16.5% 200-DMAi−28.4% RSI(14)i41 % from ATHi−82.5% Sharpe(1Y)i−0.42
Crypto Market
Macro Indicators
Market Caps & Dominance
BTC Mcapi
$1.23T −3.52%
55.9% of total
ETH Mcap
$196.9B −3.50%
8.8% of total
Stablecoin Mcap
$314.9B +0.18%
circulating supply
Total Crypto Mcap
$2.23T −1.60%
global market cap
Trading Volumes (24h)
CEX Volume (spot)
$84.5B −15.86%
24h · CoinGecko aggregate
DEX Volume (spot)
$7.2B +20.41%
24h · DefiLlama all chains
CEX Volume (perp)
$257.4B −1.13%
24h · derivatives exchanges
Hyperliquid (perp)
$6.6B −4.46%
24h · 230+ markets
DeFi Activity
Global DeFi TVL
$71.1B −1.65%
all chains
Lending TVL
$35.8B −2.29%
money markets
DEX TVL
$11.4B −1.47%
liquidity pools
ETH Staking APR
2.57%
Lido stETH base rate
Leverage & Sentiment
BTC Fundingi
+3.76% APR longs pay
8h · Binance perp
ETH Fundingi
−4.75% APR shorts pay
8h · Binance perp
BTC L/S Ratioi
1.19 large traders long
1.19× longs vs shorts
Crypto F&Gi
10 Extreme Fear
Δ +2 vs yesterday · 0-100
IPOR Rates
USDCi
3.40% −0.23 pp vs SOFR
24h avg 3.41%
USDTi
3.12% −0.51 pp vs SOFR
24h avg 3.09%
DAIi
11.45% +7.82 pp vs SOFR
24h avg 4.35%
WETHi
1.74% −0.01 pp vs avg
24h avg 1.75%

04.7Pre-IPO & Onchain Equity Perpsi

Bearishi
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Pre-IPO perp marks are running an average of +11.13% above their oracle valuations as of this snapshot, with Anthropic the top contributor at +13.21% above oracle, followed by OpenAI at +12.06% and SpaceX at +8.11%.

SPACEXi SpaceX
$1.97T -4.03% 24h
+8.11% vs oraclei
Oraclei$1.82T Last roundi$137B · Jan 2023 Financialsi$18.7B · FY25 P/S (oracle)i97.5× OIi1,533 Fundingi+26.4%/yr Vol 24h$388k
Cross-venuei xyz:SPCX · $154.72/share · -7.82% · vol $115.2M
ANTHROPICi Anthropic
$1.65T +0.49% 24h
+13.21% vs oraclei
Oraclei$1.46T Last roundi$965B · May 2026 Financialsi$19.2B · Q1 26 P/S (oracle)i33.4× fwd · 75.9× TTM OIi5,187 Fundingi+43.6%/yr Vol 24h$253k
OPENAIi OpenAI
$1.26T -4.90% 24h
+12.06% vs oraclei
Oraclei$1.13T Last roundi$852B · Mar 2026 Financialsi$24B · Mar 26 P/S (oracle)i47.0× OIi2,219 Fundingi+39.6%/yr Vol 24h$120k
CRCLi Circle Internet
$79.22 -4.98% 24h
OIi362,682 Fundingi+11.1%/yr Vol 24h$27.0M
COINi Coinbase
$152.02 -6.24% 24h
OIi29,269 Fundingi+5.5%/yr Vol 24h$5.0M
MSTRi MicroStrategy
$116.55 -7.94% 24h
OIi205,431 Fundingi-30.4%/yr Vol 24h$16.2M

Sector-thematic equity baskets

MAG7i Magnificent 7
64.86 -2.82% 24h
OIi13,335 Fundingi+80.2%/yr Vol 24h$696k
SEMISi Semiconductors
561.08 -7.66% 24h
OIi1,073 Fundingi-1387.9%/yr Vol 24h$83k
DEFENSEi Defense
62.16 -1.27% 24h
OIi701 Fundingi+23.7%/yr Vol 24h$8k
ROBOTi Robotics
37.02 -3.41% 24h
OIi1,472 Fundingi+5.5%/yr Vol 24h$7k
NUCLEARi Nuclear
117.90 -5.68% 24h
OIi496 Fundingi+5.5%/yr Vol 24h$11k

04.8Crypto Treasuries & Spot ETF Flows

Distributing
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Corporate and institutional treasury holdings remain substantial, with 1,277,540 BTC (~$78.3B, 6.08% of supply), 7,555,330 ETH (~$12.3B, 6.26% of supply), and 18,457,162 SOL (~$1.2B, 3.19% of supply) held across tracked entities. Today's spot ETF flows show BTC in outflow at -$91M and SOL essentially flat, while ETH bucked the trend with +$82M in inflows. The 7-day picture is more uniformly negative: BTC ETFs have shed $1.33B over the past week, with ETH and SOL also in net outflow over that window.

Asset Total Held USD Value % of Supply Top Public Holders
₿
Bitcoin
BTC
 1.28 M BTC $78.3 B 6.08% Strategy 845k · XXI 44k · Metaplanet 40k · MARA Holdings 35k · Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company 30k
Ξ
Ethereum
ETH
 7.56 M ETH $12.3 B 6.26% BitMine Immersion 5.54M · SharpLink 869k · The Ether Machine 497k · Bit Digital 158k · Coinbase Global 151k
◎
Solana
SOL
 18.46 M SOL $1.2 B 3.19% Forward Industries 7.01M · DeFi Development Corp. 2.22M · Upexi 2.17M · Sharps Technology 2.08M · Solana Company 2.06M
Spot ETF Flows
Source: Farside Investors · AUM via FMP
BTC 13 funds · IBIT, FBTC, BITB… Top 5 of 13 funds (by AUM) 1. IBIT BlackRock $48.9 B 2. FBTC Fidelity $13.4 B 3. GBTC Grayscale $9.1 B 4. BTC Grayscale Mini $3.3 B 5. ARKB ARK 21Shares $2.8 B + 8 more Flow data as of 08 Jun 2026
AUM
$82.8 B
24h Flow−$91 M
7-day Flow−$1.33 B
YTD Flowi−$2.69 B
ETH 10 funds · ETHA, ETHB, FETH… Top 5 of 10 funds (by AUM) 1. ETHA BlackRock $4.8 B 2. ETH Grayscale Mini $1.5 B 3. ETHE Grayscale $1.2 B 4. FETH Fidelity $994.2 M 5. ETHB BlackRock $500.6 M + 5 more Flow data as of 08 Jun 2026
AUM
$9.4 B
24h Flow+$82 M
7-day Flow−$48 M
YTD Flowi−$1.04 B
SOL 6 funds · BSOL, VSOL, FSOL… Top 5 of 6 funds (by AUM) 1. BSOL Bitwise $582.5 M 2. GSOL Grayscale $93.1 M 3. VSOL VanEck $11.4 M 4. SOEZ Franklin $9.2 M 5. TSOL VanEck $2.6 M + 1 more Flow data as of 08 Jun 2026
AUM
$699.0 M
24h Flow−$0 M
7-day Flow−$7 M
YTD Flowi−$28 M

05Technical Dashboard

Mixed
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ
Asset Last Trendi Supporti Resistancei RSIi RSI Status Signal
SPX S&P 500 7,280.56 Bullish 7,174.53 7,483.15 42 Neutral Buyconf 75%
IXIC Nasdaq Comp. 25,185.97 Bullish 24,863.44 26,259.92 39 Neutral Buyconf 65%
DXY Dollar Index 112.68 USD ↑ 111.45 112.68 66 Neutral Sellconf 65%
VIX Volatility 22.74 Elevated 18.75 23.24 64 Neutral Holdconf 65%
US10Y US 10Y Yield 4.55% Yields ↑ 4.40% 4.55% 59 Neutral Sell bondsconf 75%
CL WTI Crude $95.96 Sideways $73.11 $100.46 45 Neutral Holdconf 50%
XAU Gold $4,272 Bearish $4,260 $4,587 32 Neutral Sellconf 50%
BTC Bitcoin $61,355 Bearish $60,739 $75,592 24 Oversold Holdconf 65%
ETH Ethereum $1,631 Bearish $1,613 $2,148 26 Oversold Holdconf 65%

06Key Events

Next 7 days
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Tomorrow's calendar is the most immediate focus, with the May Inflation Rate (YoY) due at 12:30 UTC and Oracle (ORCL) earnings also on deck. Thursday brings May PPI, and Adobe (ADBE) reports the same day. Further out, Michigan Consumer Sentiment on June 12 and Housing Starts plus Building Permits on June 16 round out a busy macro week.

U.S. Macro Releases — FMP economic calendar (filtered)

  • Tomorrow
    12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST     CPI YoY (May)Est: 4.20 % · prev 3.80 % High
  • Tomorrow
    12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST     CPI MoM (May)Est: 0.50 % · prev 0.60 % High
  • Fri
    14:00 UTC · 16:00 CEST     Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jun)Est: 46 · prev 44.80 High
  • Tue, Jun 16 Housing Starts (May)Est: 1.46 M · prev 1.47 M High
  • Tomorrow
    12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST     CPI s.a (May)Est: 333.7 · prev 332.4 Medium
  • Tomorrow
    12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST     CPI (May)Est: 335.1 % · prev 333.0 % Medium
  • Thu
    12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST     Initial Jobless Claims (Jun/06)Est: 219 K · prev 225 K Medium
  • Thu
    12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST     Core PPI MoM (May)Est: 0.50 % · prev 1 % Medium
  • Mon
    13:15 UTC · 15:15 CEST     Industrial Production MoM (May)Est: 0.50 % · prev 0.70 % Medium
  • Tue, Jun 16 Housing Starts MoM (May)Est: -0.30 % · prev -2.80 % Medium
  • Tomorrow
    12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST     Core CPI (May)prev 335.4 % Low
  • Thu
    12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST     PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM (May)Est: 0.30 % · prev 0.60 % Low
  • Thu
    12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST     Core PPI YoY (May)Est: 5.40 % · prev 5.20 % Low
  • Thu
    12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST     PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY (May)Est: 4.40 % · prev 4.40 % Low
  • Mon
    13:15 UTC · 15:15 CEST     Industrial Production YoY (May)Est: 1.90 % · prev 1.40 % Low
1 / 3

Earnings — mega-cap reports drive index direction

  • Tomorrow · After close ORCL — OracleEPS est $1.96 (+15% YoY) · Rev est $19.1B (+20% YoY) High
  • Thu · After close ADBE — AdobeEPS est $5.83 (+15% YoY) · Rev est $6.5B (+10% YoY) High
1 / 1

07Howard Marks' Market Cycle Indicators

Mid-cyclei
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Daily reading of the framework from Mastering the Market Cycle (Howard Marks, 2018).

View full cycle assessment — 9 indicators · 0 cited sources →

08Daily Alpha

Add Selectively
Refreshed 9 Jun 2026 17:01 UTC · 19:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Add selectively. Crypto Extreme Fear and tech wreckage create narrow entry points

So far today, the single US release - Existing Home Sales at 4.17 million versus a 4.07 million estimate - printed a modest upside beat, but it is not moving markets. The real story is a sharp risk-off rotation: the S&P 500 is down 1.69% intraday to 7,281, the VIX has surged 20.19% to 22.74, and the Technology sector is the session's worst performer at -5.11%, led by Advanced Micro Devices and Intel each falling roughly 8-9%. Basic Materials (+0.73%) is the lone bright spot, a classic late-cycle defensive rotation. The sector spread of nearly 5.9 percentage points is a textbook dispersion warning. Crypto Extreme Fear at 10 is the sharpest contrarian signal today: Bitcoin is below its 200-week moving average at 61,355, Ethereum funding is slightly negative, and Bitcoin spot ETF outflows are -91.4 million on the day. That setup - not broad equities - is where selective entry has asymmetric merit. Equity valuations remain deeply stretched. Hold equities; add crypto small on confirmed stabilization.

24h Bias
Cautious; vol spike demands patience
Equities
Hold; avoid chasing tech on weakness
Bonds
Add small at 30Y 5.01%; real yield attractive
Commodities
Wait; WTI spike and gold drop need settling
Crypto
Add small BTC near WMA200 on fear extreme
Vol hedge
Hold existing hedges; VIX spike not peak yet