01Daily Summary

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

A sharp equity selloff hit the S&P 500 at 7,384 (down 2.64%), with the VIX surging 33.9% to 21.51 as technology stocks led the decline. Ethereum collapsed 12.2% to $1,520 and Bitcoin fell 4.1% to $60,026, breaking below its 200-week moving average of $61,810. The crypto Fear and Greed Index sits at 12 (Extreme Fear). Equity multiples remain deeply stretched: CAPE 10 at 41.57 versus a long-run mean of 17.38, amplifying the downside when sentiment turns. Oil's 5.3% surge to $95.96 adds a stagflationary undertone.

S&P 500−2.64%NASDAQ−4.18%US10Y−2 bpWTI+5.27%Gold−3.10%BTC−4.14%ETH−12.19%DXY−0.22%VIX+33.94%

Driver:A tech-led equity rout, with AMD and Intel each falling over 10%, combined with stronger US jobs data reigniting Fed rate-hike expectations.
Cross-asset:Equities and crypto sold off together; WTI crude surged 5.3% while gold fell 3.1% and silver dropped 6.6%, suggesting forced liquidation rather than safe-haven rotation.
Bonds & rates:US 30-year yield at 4.97%; 2s10s spread at 42 basis points. TIPS real yield steady at 2.11%; 10-year breakeven at 2.36%. HY OAS (high-yield credit spreads) at 274 basis points, barely moved. IPOR USDC at 3.40%.
Sentiment:Crypto Fear and Greed at 12 (Extreme Fear); equity Fear and Greed at 42.1 (Fear). VIX at 21.51. Bitcoin ETF outflows hit $325.7 million in 24 hours. News sentiment score: -46 (bearish).
Forward bias:No high-impact US calendar events in the next 48 hours. A stabilisation in tech and Bitcoin holding above $60,026 would be minimum conditions to flip the regime call toward Mixed Signals.

02Macro Snapshot

Mixed signals

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Benchmark Rates	Latest	Δ vs Prior	Released	Next Release	Implication
Fed Ratei	3.50 – 3.75 %	unchanged	29 Apr 2026	17 Jun 2026	Fed funds at 3.50-3.75% signals steady policy supporting risk assets.
ECB Ratei	2.00 %	unchanged	4 Jun 2026	16 Jul 2026	ECB rate at 2.00% eases pressure on European risk assets.
BoJ Ratei	0.75 %	unchanged	28 Apr 2026	16 Jun 2026	BoJ rate at 0.75% keeps JPY carry trade attractive.
SOFRi	3.62 %	+1 bp	daily	tomorrow	SOFR at 3.62% with +1bp rise tightens short-end USD funding.
IPOR USDCi	3.40 %	−22 bp	real-time	—	USDC IPOR at 3.40% below SOFR indicates deleveraging pressure.
IPOR WETHi	1.75 %	+3 bp	real-time	—	WETH IPOR at 1.75% shows cooling onchain ETH leverage demand.
ETH Ratei	2.72 %	—	real-time	—	ETH staking yield at 2.72% reflects steady validator demand.

Inflation	Latest	Δ vs Prior	Released	Next Release	Implication
CPI YoY (headline)i	3.8 %	+0.6 pp	12 May 2026	10 Jun 2026	Headline CPI at 3.8% keeps Fed cautious on rate cuts.
CPI YoY (core)i	2.8 %	+0.1 pp	12 May 2026	10 Jun 2026	Core CPI at 2.8% shows moderate underlying inflation persistence.
PPI YoY (headline)i	6.0 %	+1.7 pp	13 May 2026	11 Jun 2026	PPI at 6.0% signals upstream inflation outpacing consumer prices.
PPI YoY (core)i	5.2 %	+1.3 pp	13 May 2026	11 Jun 2026	Core PPI at 5.2% indicates persistent upstream cost pressures.

Labor	Latest	Δ vs Prior	Released	Next Release	Implication
Nonfarm Payrollsi (m/m)	159.00 M jobs	+172 k	5 Jun 2026	2 Jul 2026	NFP gain of 172k points to resilient labor market.
Unemployment Ratei	4.3 %	unchanged pp	5 Jun 2026	2 Jul 2026	Unemployment at 4.3% adds mild labor market slack.

Activity	Latest	Δ vs Prior	Released	Next Release	Implication
Industrial Productioni (YoY)	+1.4 %	+0.6 pp	15 May 2026	15 Jun 2026	Industrial production up 1.4% YoY shows steady manufacturing growth.
Retail Salesi (m/m)	+0.5 %	−1.4 pp	14 May 2026	17 Jun 2026	Retail sales up 0.5% m/m confirms solid consumer demand.
ISM Manufacturing PMIi	54.0	+1.3	May 2026	—	ISM manufacturing at 54.0 signals factory sector expansion.
ISM Services PMIi	54.5	+0.9	May 2026	—	ISM services at 54.5 indicates services sector expansion.

Yield Curve	Latest	Δ vs Prior	Released	Next Release	Implication
US 10Y2Y Spreadi	42 bp	—	daily	tomorrow	Positive curve. Recession odds receding.

Sentiment	Latest	Δ vs Prior	Released	Next Release	Implication
CNN Fear & Greedi (Equity)	42 (Fear)	−13	daily	tomorrow	CNN Fear & Greed at 42 reflects equity market fear.
Crypto Fear & Greedi	12 (Extreme Fear)	—	daily	tomorrow	Crypto Fear & Greed at 12 signals extreme fear opportunity.
News Sentimenti	−46 (Fear)	−10	every 30 min	—	News sentiment at -46 shows bearish narrative in fear regime.

03News Sentiment

Fear

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Last 7 days · overall score (EWMA-smoothed) range −47 to +59 · current −46 (Fear) · −10 24h

7 days ago today

Direction

bull 8% bear 92% ± 14% uncertainty

Coverage

macro 57% crypto 35% mixed 8%

What's driving today's news sentiment Top 1 · sorted by impact

−25 Bearish medium-term

XRP Faces Near-Term Downtrend with Possible 40% Drop Amid Oversold Conditions and Pending Regulatory Vote

XRP price dropped below $1.10 after a 22% retrace; technicals signal bearish momentum with a possible further 40% decline to $0.70. On-chain data shows record whale holdings and rare oversold RSI resets indicating long-term rebound potential. CLARITY Act vote may influence outlook.

newsbtc.comconf 85% XRPAltcoins

04.1Tech Equitiesi

Bearish

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

The Mag7 and semiconductor cohort are in broad retreat today, with zero of nine names in the green. Nvidia and Tesla lead the damage at -6.20% and -6.56% respectively, while Intel and Advanced Micro Devices are the session's worst performers at -11.28% and -10.86%. Amazon and Meta are also down sharply, leaving no defensive pockets across the group.

AAPLApple

$307.34−1.25%

1D Range $307.15 — $315.17

1M Range $287.44 — $315.20

P/E TTMi36.9 P/E Fwdi31.9 50-DMAi+10.2% 200-DMAi+16.2% RSI(14)i61 YTDi+13.4% % from ATHi−3.0% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.73

MSFTMicrosoft

$416.67−2.66%

1D Range $414.44 — $429.47

1M Range $405.21 — $460.52

P/E TTMi24.7 P/E Fwdi21.4 50-DMAi+2.5% 200-DMAi−8.9% RSI(14)i48 YTDi−11.9% % from ATHi−25.0% Sharpe(1Y)i−0.04

GOOGLAlphabet

$368.53−0.98%

1D Range $364.12 — $372.08

1M Range $358.99 — $402.62

P/E TTMi27.8 P/E Fwdi25.9 50-DMAi+4.9% 200-DMAi+21.9% RSI(14)i46 YTDi+16.9% % from ATHi−9.8% Sharpe(1Y)i+2.63

AMZNAmazon

$246.03−3.06%

1D Range $245.78 — $256.38

1M Range $246.03 — $274.00

P/E TTMi29.1 P/E Fwdi28.0 50-DMAi−1.4% 200-DMAi+6.1% RSI(14)i38 YTDi+8.6% % from ATHi−11.7% Sharpe(1Y)i+0.93

NVDANVIDIA

$205.10−6.20%

1D Range $204.34 — $214.87

1M Range $205.10 — $235.74

P/E TTMi31.2 P/E Fwdi23.1 50-DMAi+1.5% 200-DMAi+9.0% RSI(14)i44 YTDi+8.6% % from ATHi−13.3% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.71

METAMeta Platforms

$593.00−5.51%

1D Range $582.94 — $629.04

1M Range $593.00 — $635.29

P/E TTMi21.3 P/E Fwdi18.0 50-DMAi−4.2% 200-DMAi−10.7% RSI(14)i42 YTDi−8.8% % from ATHi−25.5% Sharpe(1Y)i+0.16

TSLATesla

$391.00−6.56%

1D Range $388.59 — $424.68

1M Range $391.00 — $445.27

P/E TTMi326.2 P/E Fwdi205.4 50-DMAi−0.9% 200-DMAi−5.4% RSI(14)i40 YTDi−10.7% % from ATHi−21.6% Sharpe(1Y)i+0.84

INTCIntel

$99.17−11.28%

1D Range $98.33 — $106.44

1M Range $99.17 — $129.44

P/E TTMin/a P/E Fwdi91.6 50-DMAi+14.8% 200-DMAi+96.5% RSI(14)i44 YTDi+151.8% % from ATHi−25.3% Sharpe(1Y)i+2.39

AMDAMD

$466.38−10.86%

1D Range $463.97 — $505.62

1M Range $408.46 — $542.52

P/E TTMi151.9 P/E Fwdi62.6 50-DMAi+34.2% 200-DMAi+92.1% RSI(14)i54 YTDi+108.7% % from ATHi−14.7% Sharpe(1Y)i+2.54

04.2Indices

Bearishi

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

US equities are selling off hard across the board, with the Nasdaq down 4.18% and the S&P 500 (SPX) off 2.64%, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOXX) is the session's standout casualty at -10.44%. The Russell 2000 is down 3.47%, confirming the risk-off move is broad rather than confined to mega-cap tech. Notably, the SPX cap-weighted YTD return of +7.66% and the equal-weight RSP YTD of +7.76% are nearly identical (gap of -0.10 pp), meaning today's selloff is not a narrow leadership story - the average S&P 500 name is falling in line with the index. VIX has surged 33.94% to 21.51, a clear signal of repricing rather than routine profit-taking. Internationally, Emerging Markets (EEM) are down 6.53% and the MSCI World (URTH) is off 2.57%, suggesting this is a global risk-off session.

US Equity Benchmarks

SPXS&P 500

7,383.74−2.64%

1D Range 7,368.63 — 7,541.81

1M Range 7,337.10 — 7,609.77

50-DMAi+3.7% 200-DMAi+7.8% RSI(14)i49 YTDi+7.7% % from ATHi−3.0% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.99

IXICNasdaq Comp.

25,709.43−4.18%

1D Range 25,648.47 — 26,572.25

1M Range 25,709.43 — 27,093.90

50-DMAi+4.1% 200-DMAi+10.3% RSI(14)i45 YTDi+10.6% % from ATHi−5.3% Sharpe(1Y)i+2.01

DJIDow Jones Ind.

50,866.78−1.35%

1D Range 50,781.45 — 51,660.40

1M Range 49,363.89 — 51,561.94

50-DMAi+4.1% 200-DMAi+6.4% RSI(14)i58 YTDi+5.1% % from ATHi−1.4% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.59

RUTRussell 2000

2,833.50−3.47%

1D Range 2,819.03 — 2,914.03

1M Range 2,747.07 — 2,936.57

50-DMAi+3.2% 200-DMAi+10.4% RSI(14)i49 YTDi+13.0% % from ATHi−3.5% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.68

SOXXSemiconductors

539.77−10.44%

1D Range 539.57 — 580.50

1M Range 492.36 — 615.68

50-DMAi+19.1% 200-DMAi+58.1% RSI(14)i53 YTDi+72.1% % from ATHi−12.3% Sharpe(1Y)i+2.88

Risk & Breadth Gauges

RSPiS&P 500 Eq-Wt

207.83−1.42%

1D Range 207.30 — 210.36

1M Range 201.56 — 210.83

50-DMAi+3.4% 200-DMAi+6.7% RSI(14)i58 YTDi+7.8% vs SPX YTDi+0.1pp Cap-weight sharei-1%

VIXiVolatility Idx

21.51+33.94%

1D Range 15.56 — 21.57

1M Range 15.32 — 21.51

50-DMAi+11.4% 200-DMAi+16.9% RSI(14)i65 YTDi+48.2%

DXYTrade-Wt. USD

111.38−0.22%

5D Range 111.38 — 111.87

1M Range 110.29 — 111.93

50-DMAi−0.1% 200-DMAi0.0% RSI(14)i51 YTDi+0.2%

World Markets

FTSEFTSE 100

10,368.05+0.07%

1D Range 10,331.54 — 10,415.74

1M Range 10,195.37 — 10,505.01

50-DMAi+0.2% 200-DMAi+4.2% RSI(14)i49 YTDi+4.2% % from ATHi−5.2% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.67

N225Nikkei 225

66,588.12−1.31%

1D Range 65,862.21 — 67,115.00

1M Range 59,804.41 — 68,402.13

50-DMAi+12.7% 200-DMAi+27.9% RSI(14)i64 YTDi+28.5% % from ATHi−3.0% Sharpe(1Y)i+2.47

HSIHang Seng

24,961.95−1.15%

1D Range 24,928.14 — 25,216.18

1M Range 24,961.95 — 26,626.29

50-DMAi−3.0% 200-DMAi−4.1% RSI(14)i40 YTDi−5.2% % from ATHi−11.0% Sharpe(1Y)i+0.61

Global Equity Baskets

URTHMSCI World

200.38−2.57%

1D Range 199.85 — 204.36

1M Range 198.97 — 206.18

50-DMAi+3.1% 200-DMAi+7.3% RSI(14)i49 YTDi+7.4% % from ATHi−2.8% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.87

EEMMSCI Emerging

64.59−6.53%

1D Range 64.37 — 66.89

1M Range 64.26 — 70.80

50-DMAi+2.0% 200-DMAi+12.4% RSI(14)i43 YTDi+14.8% % from ATHi−8.8% Sharpe(1Y)i+1.72

Valuations

CAPE 10iShiller P/E

41.6Overvalued

−2.64% today

Long-run mean17.4 Median16.1 All-time high44.2 (Dec 1999) % from ATHi−5.9%

Trailing P/EiS&P 500 (TTM)

31.8Overvalued

−2.64% today

Long-run mean16.2 Median15.1 All-time high123.7 (May 2009)

Buffett IndicatoriCorp Equities / GDP

232.7Overvalued · ATH

Long-run mean85.7 Median72.0 Previous peak229.4 (Q3 2025) vs prev peaki+1.5%

Sector Rotationi 11 GICS sectors · today's % change · sorted best to worst

Healthcare+0.19%

Real Estate−0.05%

Financials−0.18%

Staples−0.21%

Utilities−1.06%

Materials−1.12%

Telecom−1.41%

Industrials−2.03%

Discretionary−4.13%

Tech−4.51%

Energy−5.64%

04.3US Treasuries & Credit

Bid

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Treasuries are catching a modest bid as equities sell off, with the 2-year yield down 3 basis points to 4.05% and the 10-year and 30-year each 2 basis points lower at 4.47% and 4.97% respectively. The 2s10s spread holds at +42 bp, a modestly upward-sloping curve. Real rates are unchanged at 2.11% on the 10-year TIPS and the 10-year breakeven is steady at 2.36%, meaning the yield move is nominal rather than an inflation-expectations shift. Credit spreads are barely moving: HY OAS tightened 1 bp to 274 bp and IG OAS is flat at 74 bp, a notable divergence from the equity rout that suggests credit markets are not yet pricing a stress scenario.

US2YiTreasury 2Y

4.05%−3 bp

5D Range 3.98 — 4.08

1M Range 3.87 — 4.13

5-day Δ+6 bp YTD Δ+58 bp

US10YiTreasury 10Y

4.47%−2 bp

5D Range 4.45 — 4.49

1M Range 4.36 — 4.67

10–2 spread+42 bp YTD Δ+28 bp

US30YiTreasury 30Y

4.97%−2 bp

5D Range 4.97 — 4.99

1M Range 4.94 — 5.18

5-day Δ−1 bp YTD Δ+11 bp

Fiscal

US Debt & Servicing

Total Public Debti

$39.23T +$27.2B (1d)

+8.3% YoY

Annual Interest (gross)i

$1.32T +10.3% YoY

gross · avg rate 3.35%

Rate & Rollover Risk

Wtd Avg Rate on Debti

3.35% +0.06pp YoY

on total interest-bearing debt

Maturing < 1 Yeari

26.0%

~$10.21T · refinancing-risk gauge

Macro Bond

Real Rates & Credit

Real Rates & Inflation Expectations

10Y TIPS Reali

2.11% 0 bp

10Y nominal − inflation expectations

10Y Breakeveni

2.36% 0 bp

market-implied 10Y CPI

Credit Spreads

HY OASi

2.74% −1 bp

ICE BofA US HY

IG OASi

0.74% 0 bp

tight · late-cycle

04.4Japan Rates · JGB Curve

Offered

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

No JGB curve data is available for today's session. The Japan Rates section will update when feed data is restored.

JP2YiJGB 2Y

1.42%+2 bp

5D Range 1.38 — 1.42

1M Range 1.37 — 1.46

5-day Δ+5 bp YTD Δ+22 bp

JP10YiJGB 10Y

2.67%+3 bp

5D Range 2.58 — 2.68

1M Range 2.48 — 2.78

10–2 spread+125 bp YTD Δ+56 bp

JP30YiJGB 30Y

3.83%+2 bp

5D Range 3.81 — 3.86

1M Range 3.71 — 4.04

5-day Δ−6 bp YTD Δ+44 bp

04.5Commodities

Mixed

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Energy is sharply higher, with WTI crude up 5.27% and Brent up 5.82%, a move that stands in stark contrast to the broader risk-off tone across equities and crypto. Precious metals are under heavy selling pressure: Gold is down 3.10% to $4365.3 and Silver is off 6.58% to $69.103, suggesting forced liquidation or a flight to cash rather than a classic safe-haven rotation. Natural gas is down 8.08%, adding to the mixed commodity picture.

CLWTI Crude

$95.96+5.27%

5D Range $91.16 — $97.63

1M Range $91.16 — $112.25

50-DMAi−4.5% 200-DMAi+31.3% RSI(14)i45 YTDi+67.7%

COBrent

$98.29+5.82%

5D Range $92.88 — $102.75

1M Range $92.88 — $124.24

50-DMAi−12.7% 200-DMAi+23.8% RSI(14)i41 YTDi+58.6%

NGNatural Gas

$3.07−8.08%

5D Range $3.04 — $3.34

1M Range $2.63 — $3.34

50-DMAi+7.0% 200-DMAi−16.8% RSI(14)i53 YTDi+8.9%

XAUGold

$4,365.30−3.10%

5D Range $4,336.60 — $4,508.70

1M Range $4,365.30 — $4,706.70

50-DMAi+5.5% 200-DMAi+3.6% RSI(14)i35 YTDi−0.5%

XAGSilver

$69.10−6.58%

5D Range $67.70 — $74.38

1M Range $69.10 — $89.37

50-DMAi−10.7% 200-DMAi−4.6% RSI(14)i33 YTDi−5.1%

04.6Crypto Assets

Bearish

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Crypto is in a broad and deep drawdown: Bitcoin is off 4.14% to $60026.06, Ethereum is down 12.19% to $1519.69, and Solana has shed 4.56% to $60.72, with total crypto market cap falling 5.71% and DeFi TVL down 5.73% in 24 hours. ETH is the session's standout underperformer, and perpetual funding rates confirm the bearish lean: BTC funding is -1.20% APR and ETH funding has collapsed to -18.79% APR, signaling aggressive short positioning or a sharp unwind of longs. Spot ETF flows are negative on the day - BTC ETFs saw $326M in outflows and ETH ETFs $6M - consistent with the 7-day trend where BTC ETFs have shed $1,722M and ETH ETFs $174M. BTC dominance holds at 56.2%, reflecting altcoin underperformance. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index sits at 12 (Extreme Fear), the lowest sentiment register on the scale.

BTCBitcoin

$60,026.06−4.14%

1D Range $59,228.00 — $63,421.00

1M Range $60,040.62 — $82,199.99

50-DMAi−21.7% 200-DMAi−24.0% 200-WMAi($61,809.58) −2.9% RSI(14)i15 % from ATHi−52.4% Sharpe(1Y)i−1.45

ETHEthereum

$1,519.69−12.19%

1D Range $1,509.70 — $1,738.19

1M Range $1,519.71 — $2,371.12

50-DMAi−31.1% 200-DMAi−38.5% 200-WMAi($2,470.49) −38.5% RSI(14)i12 % from ATHi−68.8% Sharpe(1Y)i−1.78

SOLSolana

$60.72−4.56%

1D Range $60.34 — $64.83

1M Range $60.83 — $97.36

50-DMAi−29.0% 200-DMAi−41.1% 200-WMAi($106.33) −42.9% RSI(14)i15 % from ATHi−79.3% Sharpe(1Y)i−1.83

ENAEthena

$0.0888−6.03%

1D Range $0.0878 — $0.0974

1M Range $0.0867 — $0.1319

50-DMAi−69.4% 200-DMAi−71.4% RSI(14)i42 % from ATHi−94.2% Sharpe(1Y)i−1.91

HYPEHyperliquid

$58.15−2.64%

1D Range $57.44 — $61.15

1M Range $38.81 — $74.47

50-DMAi+56.6% 200-DMAi+49.4% RSI(14)i50 % from ATHi−21.1% Sharpe(1Y)i+0.85

PUMPPump.fun

$0.001326−17.24%

1D Range $0.001317 — $0.001613

1M Range $0.001326 — $0.002204

50-DMAi−26.4% 200-DMAi−36.9% RSI(14)i32 % from ATHi−84.6% Sharpe(1Y)i−0.53

Crypto Market

Macro Indicators

Market Caps & Dominance

BTC Mcapi

$1.20T −4.14%

56.2% of total

ETH Mcap

$183.4B −12.19%

8.6% of total

Stablecoin Mcap

$315.1B −0.16%

circulating supply

Total Crypto Mcap

$2.14T −5.71%

global market cap

Trading Volumes (24h)

CEX Volume (spot)

$180.1B +12.35%

24h · CoinGecko aggregate

DEX Volume (spot)

$13.3B +8.93%

24h · DefiLlama all chains

CEX Volume (perp)

$424.7B +9.36%

24h · derivatives exchanges

Hyperliquid (perp)

$15.5B +12.25%

24h · 230+ markets

DeFi Activity

Global DeFi TVL

$69.5B −5.73%

all chains

Lending TVL

$34.8B −5.81%

money markets

DEX TVL

$11.3B −4.55%

liquidity pools

ETH Staking APR

2.72%

Lido stETH base rate

Leverage & Sentiment

BTC Fundingi

−1.20% APR shorts pay

8h · Binance perp

ETH Fundingi

−18.79% APR shorts pay

8h · Binance perp

BTC L/S Ratioi

1.14 large traders long

1.14× longs vs shorts

Crypto F&Gi

12 Extreme Fear

0-100 · alternative.me

IPOR Rates

USDCi

3.40% −0.22 pp vs SOFR

24h avg 3.52%

USDTi

3.17% −0.45 pp vs SOFR

24h avg 3.23%

DAIi

2.62% −1.00 pp vs SOFR

24h avg 2.63%

WETHi

1.75% +0.03 pp vs avg

24h avg 1.72%

04.7Pre-IPO & Onchain Equity Perpsi

Bearishi

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Pre-IPO perp marks are trading above their oracle valuations by an average of +12.55%, with Anthropic at the widest premium of +16.16%, followed by OpenAI at +13.38% and SpaceX at +8.12%.

SPACEXi SpaceX

$1.95T -2.50% 24h

+8.12% vs oraclei

Oraclei$1.81T Last roundi$137B · Jan 2023 Financialsi$18.7B · FY25 P/S (oracle)i96.5× OIi1,132 Fundingi+26.6%/yr Vol 24h$388k

Cross-venuei xyz:SPCX · $162.36/share · -7.68% · vol $29.7M

ANTHROPICi Anthropic

$1.64T +4.14% 24h

+16.16% vs oraclei

Oraclei$1.41T Last roundi$965B · May 2026 Financialsi$19.2B · Q1 26 P/S (oracle)i32.3× fwd · 73.5× TTM OIi5,224 Fundingi+94.0%/yr Vol 24h$768k

OPENAIi OpenAI

$1.31T -3.76% 24h

+13.38% vs oraclei

Oraclei$1.15T Last roundi$852B · Mar 2026 Financialsi$24B · Mar 26 P/S (oracle)i48.1× OIi2,274 Fundingi+45.0%/yr Vol 24h$142k

CRCLi Circle Internet

$77.72 -14.21% 24h

OIi395,622 Fundingi-237.8%/yr Vol 24h$37.2M

COINi Coinbase

$147.25 -9.93% 24h

OIi24,580 Fundingi-119.3%/yr Vol 24h$13.4M

MSTRi MicroStrategy

$116.34 -9.88% 24h

OIi181,009 Fundingi-102.1%/yr Vol 24h$27.1M

Sector-thematic equity baskets

MAG7i Magnificent 7

65.47 -4.55% 24h

OIi8,959 Fundingi0.0%/yr Vol 24h$567k

SEMISi Semiconductors

570.58 -7.72% 24h

OIi1,076 Fundingi0.0%/yr Vol 24h$364k

DEFENSEi Defense

63.58 +2.15% 24h

OIi830 Fundingi0.0%/yr Vol 24h$6k

ROBOTi Robotics

37.39 -6.91% 24h

OIi1,629 Fundingi0.0%/yr Vol 24h$20k

NUCLEARi Nuclear

121.24 -8.17% 24h

OIi555 Fundingi0.0%/yr Vol 24h$77k

04.8Crypto Treasuries & Spot ETF Flows

Distributing

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Institutional and ETF-wrapper holders collectively hold 1,275,990 BTC (6.08% of supply, ~$76.7B), 7,428,359 ETH (6.16% of supply, ~$11.4B), and 18,457,162 SOL (3.19% of supply, ~$1.1B). Spot ETF flows are negative across all three assets on the day: BTC -$326M, ETH -$6M, and SOL -$13M, extending a sustained 7-day outflow trend of -$1,722M in BTC, -$174M in ETH, and -$5M in SOL. The combination of large aggregate holdings and persistent outflows points to net redemption pressure across the ETF wrapper complex.

Asset	Total Held	USD Value	% of Supply	Top Public Holders
₿ Bitcoin BTC	1.28 M BTC	$76.7 B	6.08%	Strategy 844k · XXI 44k · Metaplanet 40k · MARA Holdings 35k · Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company 30k
Ξ Ethereum ETH	7.43 M ETH	$11.4 B	6.16%	BitMine Immersion 5.42M · SharpLink 869k · The Ether Machine 497k · Bit Digital 158k · Coinbase Global 151k
◎ Solana SOL	18.46 M SOL	$1.1 B	3.19%	Forward Industries 7.01M · DeFi Development Corp. 2.22M · Upexi 2.17M · Sharps Technology 2.08M · Solana Company 2.06M

Spot ETF Flows

Source: Farside Investors · AUM via FMP

BTC 13 funds · IBIT, FBTC, BITB…

AUM

$83.1 B

24h Flow−$326 M

7-day Flow−$1.72 B

YTD Flowi−$2.60 B

ETH 10 funds · ETHA, ETHB, FETH…

AUM

$10.0 B

24h Flow−$6 M

7-day Flow−$174 M

YTD Flowi−$1.12 B

SOL 6 funds · BSOL, VSOL, FSOL…

AUM

$692.4 M

24h Flow−$13 M

7-day Flow−$5 M

YTD Flowi−$21 M

05Technical Dashboard

Mixed

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Asset	Last	Trendi	Supporti	Resistancei	RSIi	RSI Status	Signal
SPX S&P 500	7,383.74	Bullish	7,119.56	7,541.81	49	Neutral	Buyconf 75%
IXIC Nasdaq Comp.	25,709.43	Bullish	24,697.42	26,572.25	45	Neutral	Buyconf 75%
DXY Dollar Index	111.38	USD ↓	111.38	111.41	51	Neutral	Buyconf 60%
VIX Volatility	21.51	Elevated	19.31	21.57	65	Neutral	Holdconf 65%
US10Y US 10Y Yield	4.47%	Yields ↑	4.40%	4.49%	51	Neutral	Sell bondsconf 75%
CL WTI Crude	$95.96	Sideways	$73.11	$100.46	45	Neutral	Holdconf 50%
XAU Gold	$4,365	Bullish	$4,213	$4,509	35	Neutral	Buyconf 50%
BTC Bitcoin	$60,026	Bearish	$59,228	$76,663	15	Oversold	Holdconf 65%
ETH Ethereum	$1,520	Bearish	$1,510	$2,206	12	Oversold	Holdconf 65%

06Key Events

Next 7 days

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

The week's macro calendar is dense with nine high-impact US releases, headlined by May CPI (both MoM and YoY) and Core Inflation on June 10, followed by PPI on June 11 and Michigan Consumer Sentiment on June 12. On the earnings front, Oracle (ORCL) reports June 10 and Adobe (ADBE) follows on June 11, both arriving in the middle of the inflation data window.

U.S. Macro Releases — FMP economic calendar (filtered)

Tue
14:00 UTC · 16:00 CEST Existing Home Sales (May)Est: 4.05 M · prev 4.02 M High
Wed
12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST CPI MoM (May)Est: 0.30 % · prev 0.60 % High
Wed
12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST CPI YoY (May)Est: 4.20 % · prev 3.80 % High
Fri
14:00 UTC · 16:00 CEST Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jun)Est: 46 · prev 44.80 High
Tue
14:00 UTC · 16:00 CEST Existing Home Sales MoM (May)Est: 0.50 % · prev 0.20 % Medium
Wed
12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST CPI s.a (May)Est: 333.7 · prev 332.4 Medium
Wed
12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST CPI (May)Est: 334.3 % · prev 333.0 % Medium
Thu
12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST Core PPI MoM (May)Est: 0.40 % · prev 1 % Medium
Thu
12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST Initial Jobless Claims (Jun/06)Est: 225 K · prev 225 K Medium
Wed
12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST Core CPI (May)prev 335.4 % Low
Thu
12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST Core PPI YoY (May)Est: 5.30 % · prev 5.20 % Low
Thu
12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY (May)Est: 4.40 % · prev 4.40 % Low
Thu
12:30 UTC · 14:30 CEST PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM (May)Est: 0.30 % · prev 0.60 % Low

Earnings — mega-cap reports drive index direction

Wed · After close ORCL — OracleEPS est $1.96 (+15% YoY) · Rev est $19.1B (+20% YoY) High
Thu · After close ADBE — AdobeEPS est $5.83 (+15% YoY) · Rev est $6.5B (+10% YoY) High

07Howard Marks' Market Cycle Indicators

Late-cyclei

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Daily reading of the framework from Mastering the Market Cycle (Howard Marks, 2018).

View full cycle assessment — 9 indicators · 17 cited sources →

08Daily Alpha

Refreshed 6 Jun 2026 05:01 UTC · 07:01 CEST Sources ⓘ

Wait. Broad selloff, stretched valuations, and late-cycle signals argue for patience

Today's tape is unambiguous risk-off: the S&P 500 fell 2.64% to 7,384, the VIX surged 33.9% to 21.51, and the sector spread was brutal - Healthcare barely held at +0.19% while Energy collapsed 5.64% and Technology shed 4.51%, a 5.8 percentage-point gap that is a textbook late-cycle rotation tell. Advanced Micro Devices and Intel each lost more than 10%, amplifying the semi rout. The news cycle is 92% bearish, with a stronger jobs print per Nasdaq.com reigniting Fed rate-hike expectations. Valuations offer no cushion: CAPE 10 at 41.57 and trailing P/E at 31.83 sit deep in Overvalued territory, roughly 2.4x their long-run means. Crypto adds no contrarian comfort yet - Ethereum fell 12.2%, Bitcoin ETF outflows hit $1,520 million in 24 hours, and the crypto Fear and Greed index sits at 12 (Extreme Fear), but Bitcoin is still below its 200-week moving average at $60,026. Pre-IPO perp premiums averaging 12.6% above oracle signal residual speculative excess that has not yet cleared. The late-cycle framework, stretched multiples, and deteriorating breadth all point the same direction: wait for a cleaner entry.

24h Bias

Risk-off; avoid chasing any bounce

Equities

Wait; CAPE 41.57 and breadth collapsing

Bonds

Add small at US30Y 4.97% on further weakness

Commodities

Avoid; WTI spike and gold drop signal noise

Crypto

Wait; Bitcoin below WMA200, ETF outflows heavy

Vol hedge

Hold existing hedges; VIX at 21.51 not peak

Tech Rout and Crypto Fear Signal Broad Retreat

01Daily Summary

02Macro Snapshot

03News Sentiment

04.1Tech Equitiesi

04.2Indices

04.3US Treasuries & Credit

04.4Japan Rates · JGB Curve

04.5Commodities

04.6Crypto Assets

04.7Pre-IPO & Onchain Equity Perpsi

Sector-thematic equity baskets

04.8Crypto Treasuries & Spot ETF Flows

05Technical Dashboard

06Key Events

U.S. Macro Releases — FMP economic calendar (filtered)

Earnings — mega-cap reports drive index direction

07Howard Marks' Market Cycle Indicators

08Daily Alpha

Wait. Broad selloff, stretched valuations, and late-cycle signals argue for patience